Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 2493.289841 2699.695599 2908.818234 3136.256586 3376.336624 3621.928144 3891.842165
2025-02-09 2146.263981 2452.054003 2773.563093 3135.629404 3530.839488 3947.984542 4420.397995
2025-02-16 1906.567161 2268.725228 2660.214664 3112.473744 3618.108499 4163.649126 4794.334241
2025-02-23 1759.344546 2166.029043 2615.862966 3146.402163 3751.025277 4414.726867 5194.378276
2025-03-02 1617.009643 2054.288760 2548.222661 3141.738086 3829.722633 4596.436528 5509.646344
2025-03-09 1525.647528 1992.906537 2530.532277 3187.075508 3959.271352 4830.918858 5881.223046
2025-03-16 1407.090184 1890.468149 2457.027841 3160.068199 3998.809991 4957.388722 6125.378528
2025-03-23 1351.612870 1859.920999 2465.088541 3226.140345 4144.836227 5205.507956 6509.638506
2025-03-30 1277.086741 1800.816461 2434.303334 3241.716143 4227.831973 5377.787344 6804.261279
2025-04-06 1203.399377 1738.283368 2395.384028 3243.841788 4291.779650 5525.527773 7068.808792
2025-04-13 1093.341865 1623.176681 2285.585328 3153.390925 4238.608662 5529.669172 7159.435048
2025-04-20 1074.566201 1625.956541 2323.705330 3246.912252 4411.157882 5806.006969 7577.556846
2025-04-27 1041.183389 1608.526932 2335.957106 3308.759325 4546.623529 6040.791709 7950.753564
2025-05-04 983.546166 1555.598599 2299.970490 3307.318699 4601.925409 6177.442698 8205.604592
2025-05-11 921.304047 1493.087480 2248.505647 3283.256840 4626.496102 6274.710896 8411.413692
2025-05-18 886.336702 1466.741057 2243.545848 3318.524760 4725.768493 6464.393808 8731.453641
2025-05-25 838.955008 1420.362349 2209.524252 3313.676771 4772.147969 6587.219352 8968.550005
2025-06-01 813.267595 1403.894870 2215.172812 3360.798739 4885.427297 6794.314322 9311.469122
2025-06-08 763.315895 1349.437839 2166.291329 3332.729238 4899.064211 6874.335924 9494.772803
2025-06-15 748.753953 1346.799988 2189.047952 3401.395585 5039.821568 7116.561357 9883.337424
2025-06-22 718.068149 1318.313245 2174.140017 3417.580783 5110.547806 7269.093501 10158.957875
2025-06-29 684.786942 1284.257877 2149.939200 3419.789531 5161.840540 7396.269653 10402.539115
2025-07-06 624.653747 1205.445855 2058.520163 3325.788960 5081.621161 7351.317730 10424.664745